LA NIÑA WATCH LOOMING LA NIÑA CONDITIONS
26 August 2025
DOST-PAGASA S & T Media Service
Quezon City, 26 August 2025
LA NIÑA WATCH
LOOMING LA NIÑA CONDITIONS
DOST-PAGASA has been continuously monitoring the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific. ENSO-neutral is most likely to persist until the August-September-October 2025 season. However, model forecasts suggest an increasing probability of short-lived La Niña conditions as early as the September-October-November season until the October-November-December season.
La Niña (cool phase of ENSO) is characterized by unusually cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. When conditions are favorable for the development of La Niña within the next six months and the probability is 55% or more, a La Niña Watch is issued.
Historically, La Niña is characterized by an above-average number of tropical cyclone occurrences towards the end of the year and above-normal rainfall conditions in most parts of the country that can trigger adverse impacts, including floods and landslides in vulnerable areas.
DOST-PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the possibility of La Niña and its effect on the local climate. All concerned agencies and the public are encouraged to continue monitoring and take precautionary measures against their potential impacts
For more information, please call the Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section (CLIMPS), Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD) at telephone number (02) 8284-0800 local 4920 and 4921 or through email: pagasa.climps@gmail.com.
Original Signed:
NATHANIEL T. SERVANDO, Ph.D.
Administrator