El Niño / La Niña
Monitoring
PAGASA ENSO Alert System Status

PAGASA: --El Niño in the tropical Pacific continues to weaken; --Majority of global climate models suggest that El Niño will likely persist until March-April-May (MAM) 2024 season with a transition to ENSO-neutral in April-May-June (AMJ) 2024 season; --Increasing probability of La Nina (62%) in JJA season. (updated 20 March 2024) ******************************************************************************************** Pre-developing La Niña historically, is characterized by below normal rainfall, therefore, the possibility of a slight delay on the onset of rainy season is likely with the combined effects of the ongoing El Niño.


For Particulars, please contact:

MS. ANA LIZA S. SOLIS


Chief, Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section (CLIMPS)

Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD), DOST-PAGASA

Trunkline No.: (02)8284-0800 local 4920 and 4921

E-mail: asolis@pagasa.dost.gov.ph