PAGASA

DEKAD NO. 27 21 – 30 SEPTEMBER 2023

Philippine Agri-Weather Forecast

The weather systems that will likely affect the whole country are the low pressure area (LPA), intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), southwest monsoon, easterlies, and localized thunderstorms.

During the early days of the forecast period, most parts of Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms while the remaining parts of the country are expected to have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with chances of rainshowers or thunderstorms. After this, Southern Luzon, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao and Caraga will continually experience cloudiness with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. Fair weather condition with some chances of rainshowers or thunderstorms are expected over the rest of the country. During the latter part of the forecast period, cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms will gradually be experienced in most parts of Luzon and Visayas while the remaining portions of the archipelago will generally have good weather condition with possible occurrences of rainshowers or thunderstorms.

During the early days of the dekad, winds coming from southwest will start to prevail over Mindanao while the rest of the country will have winds coming from northeast to northwest. After this, the southwesterly wind flow will progress over Palawan and Visayas. The remaining parts of Luzon will generally experience winds from the southwest to south.

During the early days of the forecast period, slight to moderate seas will be experienced over the whole archipelago. After this, Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Visayas and Mindanao will have moderate to rough seas while the remaining coastal waters in the country will have slight to moderate seas.

ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: EL NIÑO ADVISORY NO. 3
An increased positive sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) was observed across the tropical Pacific, indicating a moderate El Niño. Most climate models predict El Niño will strengthen further into a strong one later in the year and will likely continue until the second quarter of 2024

El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country which may adversely impact the different climate-sensitive sectors including the water resources, agriculture, energy, health, public safety, and many more. However, with the ongoing El Niño, enhanced Southwest monsoon season (Habagat) is favored, which may result in above-normal rainfall conditions over the western part of the country

Farm Advisories

* Philippines gains Korean market access for fresh Hass avocado

Regional Agrometeorological Situation and Prognosis

Region 1 Ilocos Region Region 2 Cagayan Valley CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region) Region 3 Central Luzon NCR (National Capital Region) Region 4A CALABARZON Region 4B MIMAROPA Region 5 Bicol Region Region 6 Western Visayas Region 7 Central Visayas Region 8 Eastern Visayas Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula Region 10 Northern Mindanao Region 11 Davao Region Region 12 SOCCSKSARGEN Region 13 CARAGA BARMM (Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao)

Region 1 Ilocos Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 120

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

3 – 6

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Rice are in vegetative, reproductive, and ripening stages while most corn are in vegetative stage. Some rice are still being harvested. Growing of mushroom, lettuce, mustard, ampalaya, mung bean, string bean, chili, malunggay, chayote, pechay, okra, upo, patola, banana, papaya, coconut and tobacco continues. Harvesting of ampalaya, cabbage, carrot, Baguio beans, potato, chayote, string, pechay, squash, eggplant, tomato, okra, peanut, mung bean, onion, garlic, ginger, chili, sweet potato, cassava, banana, calamansi, papaya and mango is ongoing. Land and seedbed preparations are taking place. Weeding, fertilizer application, pest and diseases management, watering management, plowing, and pruning are also ongoing. Solar drying and milling of rice are ongoing. Delivery of fresh produce in the market using covered vans is being done

Region 2 Cagayan Valley

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 6

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – most of the region; Moist – Cagayan and Isabela

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 36

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Rice and corn are in vegetative, reproductive, maturing, and harvesting stages. Growing of ginger, cassava, sweet potato, ampalaya, string bean, okra, eggplant, malunggay, mustard, pechay, coffee, pineapple, dragon fruit, mango, banana and coconut is taking place. Harvesting of sweet potato, eggplant, tomato, onion, cucumber, okra, string bean, ampalaya, pechay, cabbage, broccoli, Baguio beans, lanzones, rambutan, banana and papaya is being done. Solar drying and milling of rice and corn are ongoing. Applying fertilizer, weeding, spraying, and irrigating are in progress. Pest control and monitoring are being done.

CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

50 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

7 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

13 – 31

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Most rice are in transplanting and vegetative stages. Some rice are in ripening, maturing, and harvesting stages while corn are in reproductive, maturing and harvesting stages. Growing of cassava, cabbage, broccoli, lettuce, pechay, snap peas, coffee, cacao, lemon, strawberry, banana, papaya and cucumber continues. Harvesting of carrot, potato, cabbage, Baguio beans, pechay, snap peas, sweet potato, onion leeks, squash, chayote, fern leaves, lettuce, gabi, cucumber, Chinese cabbage, cassava, rambutan, lemon, banana and papaya is still ongoing. Delivery of fresh produce in the market using covered vans is being done. Weeding, basal and fertilizer applications, pruning and watering activities continue. Land and seedbed preparations are taking place in some farm areas

Region 3 Central Luzon

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Rice are in reproductive and ripening stages. In some farm areas, harvesting of rice is still taking place. Growing of mung bean, lettuce, mustard, pechay, kangkong, malunggay, eggplant, cucumber, sweet pepper, chili, guava, banana, papaya, rambutan and calamansi is being done. Harvesting of tomato, eggplant, string bean, upo, okra, chili, pepper, squash, patola, ampalaya, pechay, mustard, malunggay, ginger, kangkong, cassava, sweet potato, mushroom, banana, papaya, rambutan, lanzones, dragon fruit, santol, guyabano and calamansi continues. Supply and delivery of fresh fruits and vegetables for local consumption continue. Weeding, pruning, fertilizer application, water management, and pest and diseases management are being done. Solar drying and milling of rice are ongoing

NCR (National Capital Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

20 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 36

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Urban gardening continues. Growing of eggplant, patola, upo, okra, tomato, lettuce, squash, alugbati, chili, pepper, onion leeks, pandan, ampalaya, pechay, mustard, malunggay, banana and papaya continues. Harvesting of eggplant, tomato, okra, ampalaya, chili, malunggay, tamarind, camote tops, kangkong, pechay, lemongrass, pandan, alugbati, banana, papaya, aratilis, rambutan, dragon fruit and calamansi is still ongoing. Removal of weeds, watering activities, cleaning of gardens, spraying, pruning, and fertilizer application are being done. Supply and delivery of fresh fruits and vegetables for local consumption continue

Region 4A CALABARZON

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

Quezon: 3 – 7; Rest: 5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Cavite, Rizal, Laguna; Moist – Batangas; Dry – Quezon

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland: 20 – 32; Lowland: 23 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land and seedbed preparations are still being done. Planting and transplanting of rice are underway. Some rice are in vegetative and reproductive stages. Harvesting of corn is ongoing. Growing of okra, squash, ginger, carrot, cabbage, sweet potato, tomato, eggplant, garlic, onion, pechay, mung bean, peanut, mustard, ampalaya, banana, papaya, fern leaves, lettuce, mustard, kangkong, mango, pineapple, dragon fruit and coffee is ongoing. Harvesting of radish, cucumber, ginger, tomato, onion, garlic, pechay, potato, carrot, lettuce, chayote, string bean, peanut, mustard, fern leaves patola, okra, chayote, eggplant, cabbage, patola, squash, sweet potato, cassava, dalandan, guava, dragon fruit, atis, rambutan, banana, pineapple, coconut, papaya and coffee continues. Copra making and drying of nut are taking place. Weeding, spraying, grass cutting, and fertilizer application are still ongoing. Supply and delivery of fresh fruits and vegetables for local consumption continue

Region 4B MIMAROPA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

30 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Occidental Mindoro, Coron, and Cuyo; Moist – southern Palawan Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Rice are in vegetative and ripening stages. Harvesting of early varieties of upland rice are still ongoing. Growing of upo, chili, pepper, okra, pechay, malunggay, chili, arrowroot, patola, ampalaya, squash, banana, papaya, coconut, cashew, batao, cadios and calamansi is taking place. Harvesting of cadios, cucumber, okra, tomato, string bean, squash, ampalaya, patola, upo, kangkong, pechay, cassava, sweet potato, mushroom, banana, papaya, guyabano, calamansi and coconut is being done. Land and seedbed preparations are being done. Solar drying and milling of rice are ongoing. Weeding, fertilizer application, water management, pruning, and pest and diseases management are still being done

Region 5 Bicol Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

75 –175

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

53 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land and seedbed preparations are ongoing in some farm areas. Rice are in reproductive, ripening and maturing stages. Harvesting of rice and corn is ongoing. Growing of taro, chili, string bean, squash, mustard, pechay, malunggay, patola, upo, lettuce, ginger, soybean, sweet potato, cassava, cucumber, eggplant, okra, tomato, pili, cacao, banana, pineapple and papaya is taking place. Harvesting of camote tops, kangkong, tomato, habichuelas, sweet pepper, chayote, mustard, ginger, mung bean, sweet potato, gabi, cassava, squash, cucumber, banana, melon, papaya, rambutan, pineapple, pili nut, dragon fruit and calamansi is still in progress. Fertilizer application, spraying, irrigating, weeding, and pest and diseases management are in progress. Drying and milling of rice and corn are also ongoing

Region 6 Western Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 –175

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

63 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

24 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Rice are in reproductive, ripening, and maturing stages. Some rice and corn are still being harvested. Most corn are in reproductive stage. Growing of okra, ampalaya, eggplant, cassava, sugarcane, coconut, banana and papaya is being done. Harvesting of okra, eggplant, pechay, tomato, onion, alugbati, cadios, Chinese cabbage, sweet potato, squash, pepper, string bean, cabbage, squash, banana, lanzones, calamansi, papaya, rambutan and mangosteen is ongoing. Harvesting and milling of sugarcane are ongoing. Weeding, pruning, fertilizer application, water management, and pest and diseases management are also ongoing. Delivery of fresh produce in the market is taking place. Drying and milling of rice and corn are being done

Region 7 Central Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Cebu; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

68 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land and seedbed preparations are being done. Rice are in reproductive and ripening stages while corn are in sowing, reproductive, maturing, and harvesting stages. Planting of okra, tomato, eggplant, cucumber, squash, ampalaya, mung bean, cassava, calamansi, papaya, coconut, cacao and coffee is ongoing. Harvesting of tomato, chayote, malunggay, lettuce, okra, eggplant, chili, pepper, ampalaya, mango, dragon fruit, rambutan and coconut is taking place. Copra making and drying of nut are taking place. Drying and milling of corn are being done. Weeding, fertilizer and basal applications, pest and disease management, plowing, and water management are in progress. Delivery of fresh produce in the market is underway

Region 8 Eastern Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

50 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – most parts of the region; Dry – Northern Samar and some parts of Leyte

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 36

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Rice and corn are being harvested while some are still in maturing stage. Growing of habichuelas, potato, onion, garlic, ginger, ampalaya, okra, sweet potato, cassava, string bean, pechay, squash, patola, tomato, cabbage, carrot, chili, banana, papaya, coconut and jackfruit is still taking place. Harvesting of cabbage, pechay, eggplant, tomato, chili, ginger, pepper, chayote, squash, ampalaya, carrot, habichuelas, potato, banana, papaya, mango, abaca, watermelon, lanzones, rambutan, pineapple, jackfruit, coconut and calamansi is underway. Copra making continues. Delivery of fresh produce in the market is taking place. Weeding, spraying, fertilizer application, water management, pest and diseases management are being done. Drying and milling of corn are being done.

Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 80

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – southern part of the region; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

In some farm areas, rice are still in ripening and maturing stages. Harvesting of rice and corn is ongoing. Land and seedbed preparations are being done. Growing of cabbage, mustard. lettuce, okra, pechay, cassava, string bean, squash, alugbati, chayote, ampalaya, chili, sweet pepper, sweet potato, banana, rambutan, jackfruit, pomelo and papaya is ongoing. Harvesting of pechay, patola, ginger, onion, garlic, fern leaves, onion leeks, tomato, cabbage, mushroom, banana, papaya, dalandan, dragon fruit, calamansi and rambutan is still taking place. Delivery of fresh produce in the market continues. Weeding, cleaning of canals and dikes, irrigation and water management, pruning, and pest and diseases management are being done

Region 10 Northern Mindanao

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

20 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Bukidnon Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 97

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland: 17 – 34; Lowland: 21 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land and seedbed preparations are ongoing in some areas. Transplanting of rice is being done. Rice are in vegetative and reproductive stages. Corn are in vegetative, reproductive, maturing and harvesting stages. Growing of bell pepper, habichuelas, cucumber, lettuce, celery, pechay, malunggay, eggplant, ampalaya, squash, cassava, okra, sweet potato, potato, ginger, onion leeks, string bean, cabbage, patola, tomato, upo, banana, pineapple, sugarcane and pomelo is still ongoing. Harvesting of cabbage, carrot, habichuelas, potato, pechay, chayote, ampalaya, string bean, pechay, squash, eggplant, tomato, sweet potato, cassava, coconut, calamansi, mango, banana and papaya is in progress. Copra making and nut drying are being done. Delivery of fresh produce in the market continues. Drying and milling of corn are being done. Weeding, spraying, fertilizer application, plowing, harrowing, molluscicide application, and pest and diseases management are being performed

Region 11 Davao Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

48 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland: 17 – 34; Lowland: 21 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

In some farm areas, land and seedbed preparations are taking place. Rice are in reproductive, ripening, and harvesting stages. Corn are in vegetative, reproductive, and maturing stages. Planting of corn is ongoing while other farm areas are still in harvesting stage. Growing of eggplant, tomato, bell pepper, okra, cabbage, sweet potato, cassava, lemon grass, mushroom, banana, cacao, dragon fruit and mango is ongoing. Harvesting of ampalaya, string bean, pechay, squash, eggplant, tomato, carrot, cabbage, onion leeks, ginger, onion, habichuelas, potato, chayote, lemon grass, pandan, malunggay, sweet potato, cassava, cacao, banana, dragon fruit, coconut, papaya, mango, durian and calamansi is being done. Delivery of fresh produce in the market is taking place. Weeding, fertilizer application, pest and diseases management, and water management are ongoing

Region 12 SOCCSKSARGEN

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 25

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland: 17 – 33; Lowland: 22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

In some farm areas, land preparation and transplanting are taking place. Rice and corn are in vegetative and reproductive stages. Harvesting of corn is ongoing in some areas. Growing of lettuce, okra, ampalaya, pechay, malunggay, cacao, coffee, calamansi, banana, pomelo, mangosteen, mango, durian and coconut is still ongoing. Harvesting of chayote, cauliflower, sweet potato, lettuce, squash, ginger, kangkong, cucumber, chayote, string bean, saluyot, eggplant, chili, tomato, radish, pepper, upo, okra, cassava, lemon grass, ginger, onion leeks, sweet potato, potato, cacao, pomelo, banana, papaya, guyabano, rambutan, lanzones, mango, santol, jackfruit, avocado and mangosteen is in progress. Weeding, spraying, plowing, harrowing, fertilizer application, and water management are also ongoing

Region 13 CARAGA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

20 –125

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Surigao del Sur; Moist – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

21 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land and seedbed preparations are being done. Rice and corn are in reproductive to maturing stages. In some areas, harvesting of rice is taking place. Growing of cassava, sweet potato, gabi, okra, camote tops, kangkong, pechay, lettuce, eggplant, ampalaya, onion, banana, papaya, calamansi and coconut is ongoing. Harvesting of ampalaya, string bean, pechay, squash, eggplant, tomato, sweet pepper, cucumber, upo, cabbage, carrot, habichuelas, potato, chili, chayote, banana, papaya, mango, watermelon, calamansi and coffee is ongoing. Delivery of fresh produce in the market is ongoing. Fertilizer application, spraying, and weeding are being done. Drying and milling of rice are still ongoing.

BARMM (Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

20 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

65 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land and seedbed preparations are ongoing. Rice are in reproductive to maturing stages while corn are in vegetative and reproductive stages. Some rice and corn are being harvested. Growing of eggplant, okra, cucumber, upo, mung bean, cassava, onion leeks, squash, ampalaya, sweet potato, mustard, radish, lettuce, mango, banana, papaya, jackfruit, coconut and calamansi is ongoing. Harvesting of ampalaya, carrot, cabbage, Chinese cabbage, cucumber, chili, tomato, eggplant, squash, string bean, pechay, potato, onion leeks, onion, banana, mango, coconut, papaya, pineapple, calamansi is in progress. Copra making and nut drying continue. Delivery of fresh produce in the market is being done. Fertilizer application, spraying, and weeding are being done. Drying and milling of rice are still ongoing

Prepared By:

Prepared
RAAM

Checked
JAM

Approved
TAC

Uploaded
DPO/RVDD