Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #22

Typhoon "Carina"

Issued at 05:00 am, 25 July 2024
(Valid for broadcast until the next advisory to be issued at 5:00 PM today)

  • Heavy Rainfall Outlook
  • Typhoon CARINA is now less likely to directly bring heavy rainfall over any portion of the country. However, the Southwest Monsoon enhanced by CARINA will bring moderate to intense rainfall over various localities in the western portion of Luzon today through Saturday. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory No. 30 issued at 11:00 PM yesterday.
  • Severe Winds
  • The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
  • Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
  • The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by CARINA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
  • Today and tomorrow (26 July): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, the eastern portion of Isabela, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, and Northern Samar
  • Saturday (27 July): Batanes, Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Marinduque, Romblon, and Kalayaan Islands.
  • Gale Warning is in effect over the coastal waters of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and northwestern Cagayan. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 6 issued at 5:00 AM today.
  • In the next 24 hours, CARINA and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring rough seas over the western seaboard of Central Luzon (2.5 to 4.0 m). Moderate to rough seas are also expected over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon outside Gale Warning areas, the western seaboard of Southern Luzon (1.5 to 4.0 m), and the eastern seaboard of Northern Luzon (1.5 to 3.5 m). Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
  • Up to moderate seas are also expected over the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon, the southern seaboard of Southern Luzon (1.0 to 2.5 m), the western and eastern seaboards of Visayas, and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao (1.0 to 2.0 m). Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
  • CARINA is forecast to exit the PAR region this morning, cross the Taiwan Strait, and make its final landfall over southeastern China this afternoon or evening. This typhoon will continue to weaken as it further interacts with the mountainous terrain of Taiwan and the landmass of southeastern
Location of Eye/center

The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data 465 km North of Itbayat, Batanes (24.9 °N, 121.0 °E )


Moving Northward at 20 km/h


Maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 185 km/h

Forecast Position
  • Jul 25, 2024 02:00 PM - 540 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • Jul 26, 2024 02:00 AM - 655 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • Jul 26, 2024 02:00 PM - 905 km North Northwest of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
Wind Signal (Areas with TCWS)
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas
  • Luzon
    • Batanes
Meteorological Condition
  • A tropical cyclone will affect the locality.
  • Winds of 39-61 km/h may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. (When the tropical cyclone develops very close to the locality a shorter lead time of the occurrence of the winds will be specified in the warning bulletin.)
Impact of the Wind
  • Very light or no damage to low risk structures.
  • Light damage to medium to high risk structures.
  • Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged.
  • Twigs of small trees may be broken.
  • Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Precautionary Measures
  • When the tropical cyclone is strong or is intensifying and is moving closer, this signal may be upgraded to the next higher level.
  • The waves on coastal waters may gradually develop and become bigger and higher.
  • The people are advised to listen to the latest severe weather bulletin issued by PAGASA every six hours. In the meantime, business may be carried out as usual except when flood occur.
  • Disaster preparedness is activated to alert status.
What To Do
  • Inspect your house if necessary repair/fixing is needed.
  • Clean up drainage system.
  • Harvest crops tha can be yielded.
  • Monitor the latest Severe Weather Bulletin issued By PAGASA every six hours and hourly updates.

    Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.